← Pandemonium Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Pandemonium Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
3
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.8%
avg ELO -4.6 per match
expected value
47.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1327
· range 1269–1474
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1109
Q1 1177
Q3 1414
1624
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% | -7.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
